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Markets in Flux: Indian Equities Navigate Global Headwinds | BNP Paribas Mutual Fund

Markets in Flux: Indian Equities Navigate Global Headwinds

Indian Developments

The Indian stock market's performance for the week ending 23 May 2025 was influenced by a mix of domestic factors, rise in bond yields globally, sharp reversal in the FII sentiment, and reports of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East in the week gone by.

Despite the gains made on Friday, Nifty 50 closed the week lower at 24,853 (-0.67%), while midcap (-0.39%) and smallcap (0.78%) indices outperformed during the period. The recent volatility has been driven by global uncertainties including developments in the US-India trade relations, currency fluctuations, and rising US bond yields amid concerns over mounting US debt.

The rupee recorded its sharpest single-day gain since November 11, 2022, driven by a weaker U.S. dollar and strong domestic equity market performance.

Gold prices rose by 4.6% this week on the back off softer dollar and rising US fiscal concerns.

Sectoral Developments

Sectoral indices exhibited mixed performance for the week: Nifty Realty lead the gains at 2.66%, followed by Nifty Defense (1.74%), and Nifty Metal (0.80%). Nifty Bank and Nifty Financial Services registered a weekly positive performance for the period at 0.08% and 0.04%.

On the other end of the spectrum, Nifty Auto (-1.77%), Nifty IT (-1.46%), Nifty FMCG (-0.98%) and Nifty Pharma (-0.92%) suffered losses.

Global Developments

Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe introduced some volatility. Markets remained cautious amid Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit outlook, rising fiscal concerns in major economies and mixed economic signals from China.

US indices, namely S&P 500 index ,Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 declined by -1.23% , -1%, and -1.02% respectively. European Markets FTSE 100 and DAX increased by 1.26% and 1.28% respectively. Asian Market Hang Seng and Shanghai ended the week on a weakly positive note at 0.69% and 0.02% gains respectively while Kospi declined by -1.06%.

Other Markets:

  • Brent crude prices closed at around $ 63.4 per barrel.
  • The rupee was depreciated to 85.22 levels against the US dollar.
  • The 10 Year Benchmark G-Sec yield closed at 6.25% this week.

Source: www.nseindices.com; google finance, MCX Gold Prices; www.rbi.org.in; Morningstar and tradingeconomics.com, ccilindia.com, Economic times

Data for week ended on May 23 , 2025.

Disclaimers:

The views and investment tips expressed by experts are their own and are meant for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Investors should check with their financial advisors before taking any investment decisions.

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In the preparation of the material contained in this document, Baroda BNP Paribas Asset Management India Ltd. (“AMC”) (formerly BNP Paribas Asset Management India Private Limited) has used information that is publicly available, including information developed in-house. The AMC, however, does not warrant the accuracy, reasonableness and/or completeness of any information. This document may contain statements/opinions/ recommendations, which contain words, or phrases such as “expect”, “believe” and similar expressions or variations of such expressions that are “forward looking statements”. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by the forward looking statements due to risk or uncertainties associated with our expectations with respect to, but not limited to, exposure to market risks, general economic and political conditions in India and other countries globally, which have an impact on our investments, the monetary and interest policies of India, inflation, deflation, unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices or other rates or prices, etc. The AMC (including its affiliates), Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund (“Mutual Fund”), its sponsor / trustee and any of its officers, directors, personnel and employees, shall not be liable for any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this document in any manner. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible / liable for any decision taken based on this document. All figures and other data given in this document are dated and may or may not be relevant at a future date. Prospective investors are therefore advised to consult their own legal, tax and financial advisors to determine possible tax, legal and other financial implication or consequences of subscribing to the units of the schemes of Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund.

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